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Project Risk Management

 

RISKY PROJECT PROFESSIONAL: ADVANCED PROJECT RISK ANALYSIS

Project Planning

Quantitative Risk Analysis

Project Performance Measurement

 

Here are some of RiskyProject clients: 

 

System Requirements:

Pentium 500 MHz or greater

Windows 2000 or higher

128 MB RAM or more

20 MB hard drive space

monitor resolution 800x600

CD-ROM drive

 

RiskyProject is Windows-based project risk management software. However baseline project schedule as well as results of the analysis can be easy published on Web using Project Reporter by CoGenTex.

 

System Requirements for Web Project Reporter:

 

Microsoft Internet Explorer, version 6 or later (Windows, Unix/Linux, MacOS)

Netscape Navigator, version 5 or later (Windows only)

Opera, version 7 or later (Windows; not tested on other platforms)

 

 

 

 

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Risk analysis tutorial RiskyProject comes with comprehensive tutorial

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Risk Analysis Software user guide

RiskyProject Professional User Guide (PDF)

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Risk Analysis software: Getting started Guide

RiskyProject Professional Getting Started Guide (PDF)

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Risk analysis software: Online documentation

RiskyProject Professional  Documentation

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Risk analysis software: Online documentation

RiskyProject Professional Online Help System

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Risk Analysis software: Getting started Guide

RiskyProject Presentation

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Risk analysis software

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RiskyProject Presentation...

 

RiskyProject  Professional 2.1

Advanced Project Management

Software With Monte Carlo 

Analysis

Project managers can use RiskyProject for planning, scheduling, quantitative risk analysis, and performance measurement of projects with multiple risks and uncertainties.

RiskyProject allows managers to improve their ability to predict the course of projects and determine how risks and uncertainties will affect the project schedule. RiskyProject determines which parameters will have the most affect on your project: duration, cost, and finish time with and without risks, crucial tasks, critical risks, and success rate. With RiskyProject, you can optimize the course of your project: track project performance and risk together and analyze the affect of your mitigation efforts. It will help increase the chance that your project will be on time and on budget.

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RiskyProject Tutorial...

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RiskyProject 2.1 new features....

RiskyProject includes clear defined workflow of steps: 

  1. Create project schedule or import it from Microsoft® Project, Primavera®, FastTrack, ProjectKickStart, TurboProject, or other project management applications

  2. Create a risk list and assign risks to tasks and resources 

  3. Perform quantitative analysis using our patent pending Event Chain Methodology 

  4. Analyze results: compare main project parameters with and without risks, identify crucial tasks, critical risks, project success rate, calculate chance that project will be completed on time and within a budget. 

  5. Track project performance with risks and uncertainties. 

  6. Perform decision analysis: select project alternative based on cost and duration. 

  7. Export results or analysis to other project management software, including Project, PrimaveraFastTrack, ProjectKickStart, and TurboProject.

RiskyProject is a vital component of project management process within an organization. RiskyProject can be useful for project managers in many industries, including:  

   information technology;

   engineering and construction

   manufacturing

   agriculture

   pharmaceutical

   petroleum and mining; and,

   many others

 

 

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RiskyProject Features

RiskyProject = Project Schedule + Risks and Uncertainties

RiskyProject is built around its own scheduling system. You can define task parameters, relationships between them, constraints, resources, and cost without using Microsoft® Project, Primavera, or any other scheduling software. However, if you are already a user of Project, Primavera, or other project management software, you can seamlessly open project, created by these applications and augment existing data by assigning uncertainties to your tasks and projects.

RiskyProject allows you analyze project schedules with risks and uncertainties. You can define different risks at the project level and for each separate task or resource. Each risk is defined by its chance of occurrence, outcome (increase duration, cost, cancel task, etc.) and time of occurrence

In addition to the Risk List, uncertainties in the RiskyProject can be represented using statistical distributions. 

Click here for online documentation

Risk Analysis: Gantt Chart

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Risk Analysis: Risk Breakdown Structure

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Easy to use interface

Setting up your project for risk analysis has never been easier. RiskyProject’s interface is designed to allow you to quickly add and edit your project. Defining and assigning uncertainties is easy with RiskyProject. RiskyProject allows you to define default settings for task, resource and risk parameters and when you need help an interactive system of legends and on-screen help messages will guide you though the process of modeling your project schedule.

Click here for online documentation

Risk Analysis Results

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Result Gantt Chart

The results of your project risk analysis are shown on the Results Gantt chart. You will see the ranges for start and finish times of each task, and be able to compare them with baseline or original project schedule.

The RiskyProject scheduling engine is designed and optimized for risk analysis. Probabilistic calculations with multiple simulations are performed quickly: on small projects, the calculations are instantaneous. This is important, for as new information about the project performance becomes available, you can quickly reanalyze the project as often as required.

Click here for online documentation

Risk Analysis: Result Gantt chart

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Earned Value Analysis

RiskyProject performs earned value analysis based on baseline project schedule and project schedule with risks and uncertainties (results of analysis). RiskyProject allows you to specify or calculate actual cost for each task. Actual cost, budgeted cost, and cost as a result of analysis (with risks and uncertainties) are displayed using interactive cash flow diagrams. You can determine difference between actual and budgeted cost on the each stage of the project.

 

Earned Value Management

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Product Lifecycle Management

In addition to cost analysis RiskyProject includes income and revenue analysis with risks and uncertainties. You may perform risk analysis related to both product development and product sales. RiskyProject has separate sets of risks related to income, such as Fixed Income Increase and Relative Income Increase. 

Product Lifecycle Management

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Interface to Simulation Results

Just double-click on each bar within the Gantt chart to view histograms for duration, start and finish times, and cost, associated with the particular task.

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Risk Analysis: Simulation results

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Project Decision Analysis

RiskyProject Professional allows the user to perform an analysis of different scenarios using decision trees. Decision trees can be created based on RiskyProject’s project schedule and presented using Vanguard Studio software. RiskyProject can export data to the text files and then used as an input in DecisionPro. Alternatively, DecisionPro can be launched directly from RiskyProject from the menu or by clicking a toolbar button. 

Click here for online documentation

Project Decision Analysis

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WBS and PERT Charts

WBS Chart Pro and PERT Chart Expert are used to present and modify project schedules in two different graphic formats. This software has been developed by Critical Tools. Both of these applications can be launched from the toolbar or from the menu. 

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PERT Chart

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WBS Chart

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Tracking Projects

Because real-life data is sometimes the only way to assess your uncertainties correctly, tracking is one of the most important components of RiskyProject. To track a task, you enter the percentage of the task done on the particular date. RiskyProject then calculates the projected task duration and updates the risk profile of the task. The project schedule is recalculated to give you a more accurate estimate of total cost, project finish time, and duration. These new results are then presented in the Tracking Gantt Chart.

Project Tracking

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Deadlines

RiskyProject allows you setup project deadlines for tasks and projects and assign different actions to them. For example, tasks or projects can be canceled if the task or the project reaches the deadline. In this case, the success rate of the project or task (chance the project or task will be completed) is reduced.

Risk Analysis: Deadlines

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Sensitivity Analysis (Tornado Diagram)

Sensitivity Analysis shows you the input parameters (task duration, start and finish time, success rate, etc.) that have the most affect on project parameters (total project cost, total duration, project finish time, and success rate). Sensitivity analysis allows you to identify critical risks, which have the potential of significantly affecting your project. These critical risks should be the key focus of your risk mitigation efforts. The results of sensitivity analysis are presented in sensitivity charts.

Project sensitivity analysis

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Crucial Tasks

Crucial Tasks are those tasks, according to the sensitivity analysis, whose duration has the most affect on a project’s duration and finish time are crucial tasks. Uncertainties related to critical tasks should be assessed and the risks associated with these tasks should be mitigated. Crucial tasks are displayed on the Gantt chart using distinct colors.

Risk Analysis: Crucial tasks

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Success Rate Gantt

Risks and deadlines can affect task success rates. You can quickly identify tasks with that fall within specific success rates by assigning different colors to ranges of success rates. For example, those tasks whose success rate falls between 0 and 10% could be assigned the red color.

Risk Analysis: Project Success Rate

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Project Dashboard 3x3

Project Dashboard 3x3 is an easy way to view results of analysis: three main project parameters (cost, duration, finish time) with and without risk; three most crucial tasks, three most critical risks. Total project cost, duration, and finish time with risks are presented based on mean values. Crucial tasks and critical risks are presented as a result of sensitivity analysis.

Risk Analysis: Project dashboard

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Reporting Tools

RiskyProject comes with powerful reporting tools. You can output the project schedule from each step of the workflow. RiskyProject’s customizable Task Sheet and Result Task Sheet allow you to see task information in table format. The results can be printed, exported to the clipboard in graphic and text format, or exported to as a JPEG file. This is particularly useful if you want to publish results of your analysis to the web.

Risk Analysis: Reporting tools

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Risk Templates

Risk templates are standard sets of risks that allow you to quickly and simplify add risks to tasks and projects. A number of templates are included to RiskyProject package. In addition, it is easy to create your own templates, which you can use for your own projects.

Risk Analysis: Risk Templates

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Managing Mitigation Plans 

You can define mitigation plans using the Mitigation view. Mitigation plan can be execute when risk is occurred. RiskyProject will count, how many times the mitigation plan is executed. The diagram, which shows how often the mitigation plan is executed, will be displayed within a mitigation view. One mitigation plan will be executed only once per task even multiple risks occur.

Risk Mitigation

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Risk Chart

Risk chart shows risks associated with tasks versus task duration or task cost. The risk is expressed as task standard deviation of task duration or cost, maximum, minimum values, ranges, or different percentiles (P10, P90, etc.). In a well-balanced project schedules, different tasks usually have similar level of risks. However, if the risk associated with a task is higher than for other tasks with similar duration or cost, these risks should be carefully analyzed and possibly mitigated. Alternatively, if a task does not have significant risks and uncertainties compared with other similar tasks, it may make sense to analyze  the task uncertainties to see if they have been represented properly.

Risk Analysis: Risk Chart

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Probabilistic Branching

Probabilistic branching allows the project to branch from one task to another task or group of tasks as part of the simulation process. For example, depending on results of project elaboration, there is a 40% chance that one project alternative will be selected and a 60% chance that another project alternative will be selected

Risk Analysis: Probabilistic branching

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Conditional Branching (If-Then-Else analysis)

Conditional branching allows the project to branch from one task to another task based on certain conditions. For example, if a feature development task takes longer than 2 weeks, this may be require shorter development time for other features. Conditions related to task duration, finish time, and cost can be specified for each task that has successors. RiskyProject checks these if then conditions during simulations.

Risk Analysis: Conditional branching

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Correlations of risk events

Different risks can coincide with each other. For example, bad weather conditions correlates with the delayed delivery of the goods. For each risk you can specify correlated risks or risks that may occur with a specific risk.

 

Correlation of risk events

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Optimistic and Pessimistic Project Schedule

Optimistic (low) and pessimistic (high) project schedule can be displayed separately on Result Gantt chart. It gives you an opportunity to analyze different project scenarios.

 

Optimistic and Pessimistic Project Schedule

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Multiple Statistical Distributions

In addition to the Risk List, uncertainties in the RiskyProject can be represented using statistical distributions. Using RiskyProject’s intuitive interface, you can define ranges for the following task parameters: duration, start time, cost, and lag between task successor and predecessor. 

RiskyProject supports the following distributions for task duration, start time, and cost:

Beta Gamma Lognormal Triangular
BetaPert Gumbel Normal Uniform
Cauchy Exponential Laplace
Custom Discrete Rayleigh

Statistical Distribution

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Distribution Fitting

If you have empirical data related to cost, income, or duration, you can use it to generate a statistical distribution and use it in the analysis. RiskyProject uses Stat:Fit from Geer Mountain Software to generate statistical distributions.

Distribution Fitting

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Web presentation and analysis

RiskyProject can publish original (baseline) project schedules, as well as the results of analysis on the Web using Project Reporter from CoGenTex. The portfolio of all published projects can be presented and analyzed on the web.  This helps to present your results to the team members or to do a risked vs. unrisked analysis of projects within a portfolio.

 

Risk Analysis: Web presentation of results

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RiskyProject Lite and RiskyProject Professional

RiskyProject professional features advanced risk analysis functionalities: project planning, scheduling, quantitative risk analysis, and project performance measurement. RiskyProject Lite has the same project scheduling and performance measurement functionalities, but it includes only basic quantitative risk analysis functionalities. 

Risky Project Features

RiskyProject

Lite

RiskyProject

Professional

Scheduling engine (Gantt chart, Resources, Costs)

Project, task, and resource risks: delay, restart start, end task, cancel task, increase cost, etc.

Uncertainties in duration, start and finish times and costs

Multiple statistical distributions including uniform, triangular, normal, lognormal, beta, beta pert, discrete, custom

Easily assign risks to task and resources

Monte Carlo simulation engine

Earned value analysis with risks and uncertainties

Project Dashboard 3x3 view: simply way to see main project parameters, three crucial tasks, and three critical risks

Project Summary View with simulation results

Simulation Results Gantt chart

Simulation results for each task with charts and full statistical reports

Tracking project with uncertainties 

Sensitivity analysis view

Project and task deadlines

Managing Mitigation Plans

Optimistic and Pessimistic Project Schedule

Risk Analysis for Product Life Cycle Management

Tracking Gantt

 

Success Rate view

 

Crucial Task view

 

Risk Chart view (task duration/cost vs. risk)

Probabilistic and conditional branching

Correlations of risk events

Risk templates

 

Interface with Microsoft® Project, Primavera, FastTrack, WelcomRisk, Project KickStart, TurboProject, Sciforma PS8, and other project management software

WBS and PERT charts

Project decision analysis using Vanguard Studio

Export data and charts to various formats, including Microsoft® Office

Distribution Fitting Using Stat::Fit Software

Web presentation and analysis using Web Project Reporter by CoGenTex

On-screen help, legends, and online documentation

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